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Qiuzhen College, Tsinghua University
Yau Mathematical Sciences Center, Tsinghua University (YMSC)
Tsinghua Sanya International  Mathematics Forum (TSIMF)
Shanghai Institute for Mathematics and  Interdisciplinary Sciences (SIMIS)
BIMSA > Probability and Statistical Physics
Probability and Statistical Physics
The conference aims to bring together the leading experts and early-career researchers in the field of probability and statistical physics, with the overall goal to present the most active research in current times and discuss future directions. Around 50 participants from China and oversea are expected. It will be held at Tsinghua Sanya International Mathematics Forum (TSIMF), from January 13th to 17th, 2025.
In the last two decades, there have been great progresses in probability and statistical physics. In particular, four Fields Medals and two Wolf Prizes were awarded to probabilists in the 21st century. In addition, probability and statistical physics recently have generated increasing interactions with other fields of mathematics, including algebra, complex analysis, geometry, PDEs, statistics and theoretical computer science, etc. This workshop will bring together experts to talk about recent developments in probability and related fields, discuss research problems of mutual interest, and initiate new collaborations.
Brochure.pdf
Organizers
Xiangyu Huang , Yun Li , Yuval Peres , Senya Shlosman , Fan Yang
Speakers
Tianyi Bai ( )
Guillaume Baverez ( )
Zhenhao Cai ( Weizmann Institute of Science )
Hong-Bin Chen ( Institut des Hautes Etudes Scientifiques )
Xinxin Chen ( Beijing Normal University )
Dan Dai ( City University of Hong Kong )
Lujing Huang ( Fujian Normal University )
Jianping Jiang ( Tsinghua University )
Hong Chang Ji ( University of Wisconsin-Madison )
Jaehun Lee ( City University of Hong Kong )
Shuangping Li ( Stanford University )
Christian Maes ( KU Leuven )
Peter Mörters ( University of Cologne )
Ron Peretz ( Bar Ilan University )
Quan Shi ( )
Zhenyao Sun ( Beijing Institute of Technology )
Ryokichi Tanaka ( Kyoto University )
Bálint Virág ( University of Toronto )
Fengyu Wang ( Tianjin University )
Wei Wu ( New York University Shanghai )
Xuan Wu ( University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign )
Jiaming Xia ( Institut des Hautes Etudes Scientifiques )
Hui Xiao ( )
Weijun Xu ( Peking University )
Lingfu Zhang ( California Institute of Technology )
Linjie Zhao ( Huazhong University of Science and Technology )
Guangyi Zou ( University of Science and Technology of China )
Date
6th ~ 10th January, 2025
Location
Weekday Time Venue Online ID Password
Monday,Tuesday,Wednesday,Thursday,Friday 00:00 - 00:00 TSIMF - - -
Schedule
Time\Date Jan 6
Mon
Jan 7
Tue
Jan 8
Wed
Jan 9
Thu
Jan 10
Fri
09:10-09:50 Bálint Virág Christian Maes Ron Peretz Dan Dai Wei Wu
09:50-10:30 Lingfu Zhang Peter Mörters Quan Shi Guillaume Baverez Hong-Bin Chen
11:00-11:40 Xuan Wu Jianping Jiang Lujing Huang Zhenyao Sun Jiaming Xia
14:00-14:40 Fengyu Wang Ryokichi Tanaka Hong Chang Ji Zhenhao Cai
14:40-15:20 Weijun Xu Shuangping Li Jaehun Lee Linjie Zhao
15:50-16:30 Tianyi Bai Hui Xiao Xinxin Chen Guangyi Zou

*All time in this webpage refers to Beijing Time (GMT+8).

Program
    6th January, 2025

    09:10-09:50 Bálint Virág

    The directed landscape from Brownian motion

    Probabilists prefer objects constructed from iid random variables. But so far, in the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang universality class, the limiting objects had to be defined using determinantal formulas or aGibbs property. In joint work with Duncan Dauvergne, we show that the directed landscape in the upper half plane is in natural deterministic bijection with an iid sequence of Brownian motions. In fact, this bijection is the ultimate limit of the RSK correspondence.

    09:50-10:30 Lingfu Zhang

    Airy beta line ensemble

    In the past decades, a family of distributions, indexed by a parameter β and named after Tracy-Widom, have been found in a wide range of correlated random systems: first in random matrices ($\beta=1,2,4$), then random permutations, interacting particle systems, growth processes, and many others. The $\beta=2$ Tracy-Widom distribution has been extended to a random process called Airy line ensemble, which has been proven to be the limit of, e.g., interfaces from the KPZ universality class. For any other $\beta>0$, such an extension has been expected, while much less is known, due to the absence of many structures special for $\beta=2$. In this talk, I will report our recent progress, in two perspectives: we construct the Airyβ line ensemble through exact formulas, and we characterize it using an SDE, thereby providing a general framework of proving convergence. This is based on a joint work with Vadim Gorin and Jiaming Xu, and a joint work with Jiaoyang Huang.

    11:00-11:40 Xuan Wu

    Applications of optimal transport to non-intersecting paths

    Non-intersecting random paths naturally arise in probability theory and mathematical physics, appearing in settings such as level curves of random surfaces and the evolution of eigenvalues of random matrices. Understanding the regularity of these paths is crucial for analyzing their local structures and asymptotic behaviors. Previously, path regularity has been achieved through Gibbs resampling techniques. In this talk, we introduce a novel approach that uses optimal transport to establish path regularity. This method sharpens several previous estimates and also yields new results that were previously inaccessible.

    14:00-14:40 Fengyu Wang

    Functional Inequalities for Sticky-Reflecting Diffusions

    By developing a new technique, the spectral gap and log-Sobolev constant are estimated for sticky-reflecting diffusion processes on manifold with Wentzell-type boundary condition. We also consider the super and weak Poincaré inequalities.

    14:40-15:20 Weijun Xu

    On sharp interface limit problems of 1D stochastic Allen-Cahn equation

    We present two results on the sharp interface limit of 1D stochastic Allen-Cahn equation with two slightly different setups. Both results depend on self-cancellations of divergent terms, but they occur in different manners. Cancellations in the first situation is designed to happen via specific constructions of correctors, while that in the second situation is somewhat miraculous. Based on joint works with Wenhao Zhao (EPFL) and Shuhan Zhou (PKU).

    15:50-16:30 Tianyi Bai

    On CLT for range of critical branching random walk in high dimensions

    We present recent progress on central limit theorem for the range of a critical branching random walk (CBRW) in Zd conditioned to be large. Law of large number for range of CBRW was given by Le Gall and Lin in 2016, and we aim at strengthening the result to a central limit theorem, based on general theory for stationary process and relation between height process of CBRW and random walk excursions. This talk is based on an ongoing joint work with Yueyun Hu.

    7th January, 2025

    09:10-09:50 Christian Maes

    On the Poisson equation for irreversible jump processes

    We study the Poisson equation for Markov jump processes which satisfy a condition of local detailed balance. Solutions can be related to mean first-passage times and to excess heat, depending on the source function in the Poisson equation. We give a powerful graphical representation of the solution, enabling an extension of the Third Law of Thermodynamics to irreversible processes, and, as a second application, we give a simple proof of an affine relation between stationary currents over different edges in the graph. [Joint work with Faezeh Khodabandehlou and Karel Netocny]

    09:50-10:30 Peter Mörters

    Inhomogeneous random graphs of preferential attachment type

    Inhomogeneous random graphs of preferential attachment type are a solvable model of a scale-free network that shares many features with more involved preferential attachment networks. In this talk I will survey some of its features that can be obtained using the theory of branching random walks.

    11:00-11:40 Jianping Jiang

    Random walk on dynamical percolation: separating critical and supercritical regimes

    In dynamical percolation each edge is open with probability $p$, refreshing its status at rate $\mu>0$. We study random walk on dynamical percolation in the lattice $Z^d$, where the walk moves along open edges at rate 1. Let $p_c=p_c(d)$ denote the critical value for static percolation. In the critical regime p=pc, we prove that if $d=2$ or $d>10$, then the mean squared displacement is $O(t \mu^a)$ where $a=a(d)>0$. For $p>p_c$, we prove that the mean squared displacement is of order $t$, uniformly in $0< \ mu<1$, refining earlier results obtained by Peres, Sousi and Steif. (For $p< p_c$ and $\ mu<1$, it is known that the mean squared displacement is of order $t \mu $.) Based on joint work with Chenlin Gu, Yuval Peres, Zhan Shi, Hao Wu and Fan Yang.

    14:00-14:40 Ryokichi Tanaka

    Noise sensitivity problem on groups

    Noise sensitivity problem asks the following: Given a stochastic process defined in terms of i.i.d. sequences, does a small number of resampling produce an independent copy of the original one asymptotically? In this talk, we discuss the following questions: Is a random walk on a group noise sensitive? What group admits a noise sensitive random walk?

    14:40-15:20 Shuangping Li

    Some easy optimization problems have the overlap-gap property

    We show that the shortest s-t path problem has the overlap-gap property in (i) sparse G(n,p) graphs and (ii) complete graphs with i.i.d. Exponential edge weights. Furthermore, we demonstrate that in sparse G(n,p) graphs, shortest path is solved by O(log n)-degree polynomial estimators, and a uniform approximate shortest path can be sampled in polynomial time. This constitutes the first example in which the overlap-gap property is not predictive of algorithmic intractability for a (non-algebraic) average-case optimization problem. This is based on joint work with Tselil Schramm.

    15:50-16:30 Hui Xiao

    Conditioned random walks on the general linear group

    Our objective is to explore random walks on the general linear group, constrained to a specific domain, with a primary focus on establishing the conditioned local limit theorem. In this talk, we show how to construct the target harmonic measure, which, together with the harmonic function, serves as a pivotal component in shaping the conditioned local limit theorem. Using a reversal identity, we introduce a reversed sequence characterized as a dual random walk with a perturbation depending on future observations. The investigation of such walks, which rely on future information, lies at the heart of the research. To carry out this study, we develop an approach based on the finite-size approximation of perturbations, enabling us to simplify the investigation to an array of Markov chains with increasing dimensions. This is based on joint work with Ion Grama and Jean-François Quint.

    8th January, 2025

    09:10-09:50 Ron Peretz

    Authority Measure for Opinion Dynamics

    We propose a formal framework for measuring the authority of individuals in a setting of opinion dynamics. Our framework is based on an axiomatic approach in the tradition of coalitional game theory. We show that the unique solution concept satisfying our axioms is a generalization of the ``authority distribution'' notion of Hu and Shapley(2003). A novelty of our approach is that it is based on the dynamics of opinion exchange rather than on network topology. However, for any fixed opinion dynamics, our approach associates a network centrality measure with any given network topology. Previous as well as new network centrality measures are obtained in this way. Joint work with Igal Milchtaich (Bar Ilan U, Israel) and Yevgeny Tsodikovich (Ben Gurion U, Israel)

    09:50-10:30 Quan Shi

    Time-changed Lévy processes at infinity

    Starting Markov processes from boundary points of the state space has a long history, dating back all the way to William Feller. In the present article we study different ways to start time-changed Lévy processes from infinity, a question that has attracted a lot of interest in the past decade for instance in the study of self-similar Markov processes or branching processes with state-dependent immigration. Our main results give sharp conditions on the Lévy process and the time-change function to allow entrance or regular boundary. Joint work with Leif Döring (Mannheim) and Samuel Baguley (Postdam).

    11:00-11:40 Lujing Huang

    Polynomial lower bound on the effective resistance for the one-dimensional critical long-range percolation

    In this work, we study the critical long-range percolation on $\mathbb{Z}$, where an edge connects $i$ and $j$ independently with probability 1 for $|i-j|=1$ and with probability $1-e^{-\beta\int_i^{i+1}\int_j^{j+1}|\mu-\nu|^{-2}\mu\nu}$ for some fixed $\beta>0$. Viewing this as a random electric network where each edge has a unit conductance, we show that with high probability the effective resistances from the origin 0 to $[−N, N ]^c$ and from the interval $[−N, N]$ to $[−2N, 2N ]^c$ (conditioned on no edge joining $[−N, N]$ and $[−2N, 2N ]^c$) both have a polynomial lower bound in $N$. Our bound holds for all $\beta > 0$ and thus rules out a potential phase transition (around $\beta = 1$) which seemed to be a reasonable possibility. This is based on a joint work with Jian Ding and Zherui Fan.

    9th January, 2025

    09:10-09:50 Dan Dai

    On the eigenvalue rigidity of the Jacobi unitary ensemble

    We consider rigidity estimates for the eigenvalues of the Jacobi unitary ensemble. Following ideas in Claeys et al. (Duke Math. J., 2021), our investigation focuses on the extreme values of the associated log-correlated stochastic processes, and asymptotics of large Hankel determinants with various singularities. Through these analyses, we achieve sharp upper and lower bounds for the eigenvalue fluctuation.

    09:50-10:30 Guillaume Baverez

    Random conformal weldings and the matter-Liouville-ghost factorisation

    We establish and explore the consequences of various integration by parts formulas related to the Gaussian free field (GFF), Schramm-Loewner evolutions (SLE), and their coupling. First, we prove a characterisation of SLE as conjectured by Kontsevitch & Suhov. Second, we perform the harmonic analysis of the Neumann GFF in the disc, singling out the boundary length as a spectral parameter. Third, we give a mathematical interpretation of the Jacobian of conformal welding, making contact with the "ghost anomaly" from bosonic string theory. Fourth, we introduce a new approach to Sheffield's "quantum zipper" theorem, with an independent proof of a result due to Ang-Holden-Sun on the conformal welding of quantum discs. Based on joint and ongoing work with Antoine Jego.

    11:00-11:40 Zhenyao Sun

    On the subcritical self-catalytic branching Brownian motions

    Self-catalytic branching Brownian motions (SBBM) are a class of one-dimensional branching Brownian motions that incorporate pairwise catalytic branchings, triggered by the intersection local times of particle pairs. These processes naturally arise as the moment duals of certain reaction-diffusion equations perturbed by multiplicative space-time white noise. For the subcritical case of the catalytic branching mechanism, we construct the SBBM allowing an infinite number of initial particles. Additionally, we establish the coming down from infinity (CDI) property for these systems and characterize their CDI rates. This is based on ongoing joint research with Haojie Hou.

    14:00-14:40 Hong Chang Ji

    Spectral edge of non-Hermitian random matrices

    We report recent progress on the spectral edge of non-Hermitian random matrices with a non-zero mean. We consider square random matrices of the form A + X where X has centered i.i.d. entries and A is a deterministic bias, and A and X are on the same scale so that their contributions to the spectrum of A + X are comparable. Under this setting, we show that there are universal patterns arising in eigenvalue statistics of A + X around its boundary, on macroscopic and microscopic scales. The first result shows that the macroscopic eigenvalue density of A + X typically can only have two types of behavior around the boundary of its support, (i) a jump discontinuity and (ii) a quadratic decay. The second result is the microscopic universality around the two types of edges; it shows that the local eigenvalue statistics of A + X around a typical boundary point is universal, depending only on the type and the symmetry class. The talk is based on joint works with A. Campbell, G. Cipolloni, and L. Erd\H{o}s.

    14:40-15:20 Jaehun Lee

    Phase transition for the bottom singular vector of rectangular random matrices

    In physics, the phase transition between localized and delocalized phases in disordered systems, often called the Anderson transition, has attracted significant interest. Several intriguing models display this behavior, including random Schrödinger operators, random band matrices, and sparse random matrices. Heavy-tailed random matrices similarly capture this phase transition, making them a crucial class of models in understanding localization phenomena. In this talk, we will discuss the phase transition of the right singular vector associated with the smallest singular value of a rectangular random matrix. This work is in collaboration with Zhigang Bao (University of Hong Kong) and Xiaocong Xu (University of Southern California).

    15:50-16:30 Xinxin Chen

    BRW in IID environment: Yaglom theorem and Stein method

    We consider a branching random walk in i.i.d. random environment where the branching law depends on the spatial environment. In the critical (0, 2)-branching case, we prove the Yaglom theorem via Stein method. This is a joint work with Chenlin Gu and Zhiqi Zhao.

    10th January, 2025

    09:10-09:50 Wei Wu

    Two dimensional dimers beyond planarity

    We study the dimer model and the monomer double dimer model, and prove that on two-dimension like graphs (not necessarily planar), both the correlation function and the loop connectivity probability decays to zero. Our analysis is by introducing a new (complex) spin representation for all models belonging to this class, and by deriving a new proof of the Mermin-Wagner theorem which does not require the positivity of the Gibbs measure. Based on joint work with Lorenzo Taggi (Sapienza).

    09:50-10:30 Hong-Bin Chen

    On free energy in non-convex mean-field spin glass models

    We start by reviewing the classical Sherrington-Kirkpatrick (SK) model. In this model, +1/-1-valued spins interact with each other subject to random coupling constants. The covariance of the random interaction is quadratic in terms of spin overlaps. Parisi proposed the celebrated variational formula for the limit of free energy of the SK model in the 80s, which was later rigorously verified in the works by Guerra and Talagrand. This formula has been generalized in various settings, for instance, to vector-valued spins, by Panchenko. However, in these cases, the convexity of the interaction is crucial. In general, the limit of free energy in non-convex models is not known and we do not have variational formulas as valid candidates. Here, we report recent progress through the lens of the Hamilton-Jacobi equation. Under the assumption that the limit of free energy exists, we show that the value of the limit is prescribed by a characteristic line; and the limit (as a function) satisfies an infinite-dimensional Hamilton-Jacobi equation "almost everywhere". This talk is based on a joint work with Jean-Christophe Mourrat.

    11:00-11:40 Jiaming Xia

    Extract one-arm exponent in FK models from the convergence of height functions to GFF

    We consider FK models with $q$ in $[1,4]$ on the square lattice and the whole plane. We assume the convergence of height functions to GFF and in particular we assume that we know the variance $\sigma^2$ of the GFF. Then, we sketch an approach to get the exponent $\alpha_1$ describing the probability of having a primal crossing of an annulus. The basis for this approach is the BKW coupling relating the height function to the interface loops of FK. We show that by choosing appropriate test functions (viewd as placing charges on the plane), we can get relations between $\sigma^2, \alpha_1$, and a factor accounting for local concentration of small interface loops.

    14:00-14:40 Zhenhao Cai

    Incipient Infinite Clusters in Metric Graph Gaussian Free Fields

    The Gaussian free field (GFF) on the metric graph was introduced by Titus Lupu (2016) as a natural extension of the discrete GFF. Its level-set (i.e., the collection of points where the GFF exceeds a given threshold) is a random object with favorable properties and a strong connection to numerous models in statistical physics (including loop soups, random interlacements, etc). This talk will introduce our recent progress in establishing the incipient infinite clusters of this level-set, as well as a series of regularity properties for its connecting probabilities. Some of these properties lead to new conjectures in Bernoulli percolation. This is a joint work with Jian Ding (Peking University).

    14:40-15:20 Linjie Zhao

    Moderate deviation principles for a reaction diffusion model in non-equilibrium

    We consider moderate deviations from hydrodynamic limits of a reaction diffusion model. The process is defined as the superposition of the symmetric simple exclusion process with Glauber dynamics. When the process starts from a product measure with a constant density, a non-equilibrium measure for the process, we prove that the rescaled density fluctuation field satisfies the moderate deviation principle. When time permits, we will also outline the main ideas of the proof.

    15:50-16:30 Guangyi Zou

    The Edge Statistics of Random Band Matrices

    Random band matrices are interpolation models between Wigner matrices and random Schrödinger operators. When the bandwidth changes at different rates relative to the system size, the eigenvalues of band matrices exhibit two distinct behaviors: Wigner matrix eigenvalue statistics and Poisson eigenvalue statistics. In this talk, we consider the edge statistics of band matrices for and discuss the mechanism behind the transition between Wigner statistics and Poisson statistics of eigenvalues. Our discussion involves certain Feynman diagram expansion and Feynman integral estimates. This discussion is based on collaborative work with Professor Dang-Zheng Liu (USTC), arxiv:2401.00492.

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