北京雁栖湖应用数学研究院 北京雁栖湖应用数学研究院

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清华大学 "求真书院"
清华大学丘成桐数学科学中心
清华三亚国际数学论坛
上海数学与交叉学科研究院
BIMSA > 控制理论和非线性滤波讨论班 Convolutional Bayesian Filtering
Convolutional Bayesian Filtering
组织者
丘成栋
演讲者
刘畅
时间
2024年02月27日 21:00 至 22:00
地点
Online
摘要
Bayesian filtering serves as the mainstream framework of state estimation in dynamic systems. Its standard version utilizes total probability rule and Bayes’ law alternatively, where how to define and compute conditional probability is critical to state distribution inference. Previously, the conditional probability is assumed to be exactly known, which represents a measure of the occurrence probability of one event, given the second event. In this work, we find that by adding an additional event that stipulates an inequality condition, we can transform the conditional probability to a special integration that is analogous to convolution. Based on this transformation, we show that both transition probability and output probability can be generalized to convolutional forms, resulting in a more general filtering framework that we call convolutional Bayesian filtering. This new framework encompasses standard Bayesian filtering as a special case when the distance metric of the inequality condition is selected as Dirac delta function. It also allows for a more nuanced consideration of model mismatch by choosing different types of inequality conditions. For instance, when the distance metric is defined in a distributional sense, the transition probability and output probability can be approximated by simply rescaling them into fractional powers. This approximation results in a robust version of Kalman filter by only altering the noise covariance matrix, while maintaining the conjugate nature of Gaussian distributions. Finally, we exemplify the effectiveness of our approach by reshaping classic filtering algorithms into convolutional versions, including Kalman filter, extended Kalman filter, unscented Kalman filter and particle filter.
北京雁栖湖应用数学研究院
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